Futures — what the money thinks happens next
internal · working name unratified · read-only instrumentPrediction-market prices on questions a Kansas Citian has a stake in, snapshotted over time: what is being priced, how the price moved through the cycle, what resolved, and how much money was behind it. A market price is a wager's implied probability — not a poll, not a forecast, not a fact. Every price on this page carries its liquidity tier; books with no live market never render as a percentage. Not a betting product: The Stare never operates, hosts, brokers, or solicits a wager. Contract: editorial/futures/SCHEMA.md · terms findings that gate any public surface: SOURCE-CENSUS.md §3 (live venue: Polymarket only — Kalshi is terms-blocked).
The KC board — civic markets
Movers
largest price change · thin and untraded books excluded by the floorThe cycle — price through time
every tracked observation, including venue history · KC timeCalibration — was the price any good?
resolved markets, kept forever · re-scored at certificationScored against the real-world result, never against the venue's own settlement — the store already holds one venue mis-resolution (the KS Dem Senate duplicate that paid the runner-up). Full memo: editorial/futures/CALIBRATION-2026-08-04.md.